Valencia vs Valladolid Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Thu 27 Apr, 19:30
Valencia
21 Full time
Valladolid
Valencia 2–1 Valladolid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 23%
Away 21%

💡 Valencia are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1439 v 1443 Valladolid rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valencia v Valladolid

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1439 vs 1443).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Valladolid
Goal expectation
Valencia
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Valladolid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaLDLLW0.8 ppg
ValladolidLLDWW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1439
Valladolid1443
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model67% · 22% · 11%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 32%
Machine-learning55% · 21% · 24%

AI match preview

Valencia enter this La Liga clash with a 56% probability of securing a home win against Valladolid, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.02 to 0.70. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a moderate 51% chance of the match producing over 2.5 goals. While the home side is favored, the 23% draw and 21% away win probabilities highlight the potential for surprises; please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.02 – 0.70

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Valencia 2–1 Valladolid
Jan 2023 Valladolid 1–0 Valencia