Ath Bilbao vs Sevilla Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Thu 27 Apr, 22:00
Ath Bilbao
01 Full time
Sevilla
Ath Bilbao 0–1 Sevilla

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 24%
Away 22%

💡 Ath Bilbao are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1545 v 1501 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Bilbao v Sevilla

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1545 vs 1501).
  • Ath Bilbao is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Ath Bilbao

Green = favours Ath Bilbao · Blue = favours Sevilla. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath BilbaoWDWWW2.6 ppg
SevillaLWDWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Bilbao1545
Sevilla1501
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 28% · 18%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning56% · 21% · 23%

AI match preview

Athletic Bilbao hold a 54% chance of securing a home victory against Sevilla in this La Liga clash, with the model suggesting a moderate confidence level of 62/100 in that outcome. Despite the home side’s edge in expected goals (1.61 to 0.83), the most probable final score is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a tightly contested match. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily scoring, fans should anticipate a close encounter; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.61 – 0.83

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Ath Bilbao 0–1 Sevilla
Oct 2022 Sevilla 1–1 Ath Bilbao