Osasuna vs Sociedad Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Fri 28 Apr, 21:00
Osasuna
02 Full time
Sociedad
Osasuna 0–2 Sociedad

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 29%
Away 43%

💡 Sociedad have a slight edge — leaning Sociedad, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1487 v 1551 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1551 vs 1487).
  • Osasuna is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaDWLWW2.0 ppg
SociedadLWLWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1487
Sociedad1551
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 32% · 44%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning31% · 17% · 52%

AI match preview

Osasuna host Sociedad in a La Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 43%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with 0.90 for Osasuna and 1.29 for Sociedad, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With both teams to score standing at 45% and over 2.5 goals at just 37%, this match could be a closely fought encounter; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.90 – 1.29

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Osasuna 0–2 Sociedad
Dec 2022 Sociedad 2–0 Osasuna