Elche vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 29 Apr, 16:15
Elche
40 Full time
Vallecano
Elche 4–0 Vallecano

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 24%
Away 53%

💡 Vallecano are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1327 v 1498 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index 0.0 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Elche v Vallecano

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Why we predict this

  • Vallecano is the stronger side on Power Rating (1498 vs 1327).
  • Vallecano is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Elche

Green = favours Elche · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ElcheLLLLL0.0 ppg
VallecanoDLWLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Elche1327
Vallecano1498
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 28% · 55%
Power Rating29% · 18% · 54%
Machine-learning21% · 15% · 64%

AI match preview

Elche host Vallecano in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 53% chance to win, according to model projections, with a 60/100 confidence rating. The expected goals suggest Vallecano may edge the contest 1-0, as Elche are projected to score less than one goal on average. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring slightly favored, this match looks set for a tight, low-scoring affair; remember these are statistical probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.78 – 1.60

Most likely score

0-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Elche 4–0 Vallecano
Oct 2022 Vallecano 2–1 Elche