Valladolid vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 30 Apr, 21:00
Valladolid
25 Full time
Ath Madrid
Valladolid 2–5 Ath Madrid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (58%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 22%
Away 58%

💡 Ath Madrid are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1433 v 1628 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 2.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valladolid v Ath Madrid

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1628 vs 1433).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Valladolid

Green = favours Valladolid · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValladolidLDWWL1.4 ppg
Ath MadridWWWLW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Valladolid1433
Ath Madrid1628
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 33% · 50%
Power Rating27% · 15% · 57%
Machine-learning16% · 11% · 73%

AI match preview

Valladolid host Atlético Madrid in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 58% chance of victory, according to model projections. With expected goals favoring Atlético at 1.24 compared to Valladolid’s 0.62, a narrow 1-0 away win is the most likely outcome. Low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (29%) and both teams to score (35%) suggest a tight contest; remember these are statistical forecasts and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.62 – 1.24

Most likely score

0-1

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Valladolid 2–5 Ath Madrid
Jan 2023 Ath Madrid 3–0 Valladolid