Mallorca vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Mon 1 May, 19:00
Mallorca
11 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Mallorca 1–1 Ath Bilbao

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 30%
Away 37%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1485 v 1530 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Mallorca v Ath Bilbao

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1530 vs 1485).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Mallorca

Green = favours Mallorca · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MallorcaDDWWL1.6 ppg
Ath BilbaoDWWWL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Mallorca1485
Ath Bilbao1530
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 34% · 33%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning36% · 20% · 45%

AI match preview

Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao are projected to produce a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 37%, though a draw holds a close 30% probability. Expected goals are nearly even at around 1.02 to 1.03 each, pointing toward a likely 1-1 stalemate as the most probable scoreline. With only a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% likelihood both teams score, this encounter may hinge on narrow margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.02 – 1.03

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Mallorca 1–1 Ath Bilbao
Aug 2022 Ath Bilbao 0–0 Mallorca