Almeria vs Elche Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Tue 2 May, 19:30
Almeria
21 Full time
Elche
Almeria 2–1 Elche

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (59%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 59%
Draw 23%
Away 18%

💡 Almeria are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1435 v 1354 Almeria rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Almeria v Elche

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Why we predict this

  • Almeria is the stronger side on Power Rating (1435 vs 1354).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Almeria
Form Index
Almeria
Goal expectation
Almeria
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Elche. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaWLLWL1.2 ppg
ElcheLLLLW0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1435
Elche1354
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model69% · 21% · 11%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning56% · 33% · 11%

AI match preview

Almeria enter this La Liga clash with a 59% probability of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.17 compared to Elche’s 0.76, suggesting a strong offensive edge. The model favors a 2-0 scoreline, with a 56% chance of the match producing over 2.5 goals, while both teams scoring sits just under at 48%. These projections highlight Almeria as the statistical favorite, but remember to gamble responsibly as outcomes can vary (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.17 – 0.76

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Almeria 2–1 Elche
Aug 2022 Elche 1–1 Almeria