Barcelona vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Tue 2 May, 19:30
Barcelona
10 Full time
Osasuna
Barcelona 1–0 Osasuna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (76%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 76%
Draw 17%
Away 7%

💡 Barcelona are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 93.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 93.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1684 v 1470 Barcelona rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Barcelona v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • Barcelona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1684 vs 1470).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Barcelona
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Barcelona
Home advantage
Barcelona

Green = favours Barcelona · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BarcelonaDDWLW1.6 ppg
OsasunaWLWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Barcelona1684
Osasuna1470
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model67% · 29% · 5%
Power Rating73% · 12% · 15%
Machine-learning70% · 27% · 3%

AI match preview

Barcelona enter this La Liga clash as strong favorites with a 76% chance of securing a home win, backed by a high confidence rating of 93/100. The model anticipates a tight contest with an expected scoreline of 1-0, reflecting Barcelona's modest expected goals of 1.36 compared to Osasuna's 0.21. With low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (21%) and both teams scoring (15%), this matchup is projected to be a closely fought, low-scoring affair—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.36 – 0.21

Most likely score

1-0

28% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 21%

Under 79%

Both teams to score

Yes 15%

No 85%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys Barcelona, Spain Capacity 55,926 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Barcelona 1–0 Osasuna
Nov 2022 Osasuna 1–2 Barcelona