Girona vs Mallorca Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Thu 4 May, 19:30
Girona
21 Full time
Mallorca
Girona 2–1 Mallorca

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 28%
Away 21%

💡 Girona are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1533 v 1484 Girona rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Mallorca

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Why we predict this

  • Girona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1533 vs 1484).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Mallorca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaDWLWW2.0 ppg
MallorcaDWWLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1533
Mallorca1484
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 25% · 20%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning48% · 41% · 11%

AI match preview

Girona holds a 51% chance of securing a home win against Mallorca, with the model indicating a moderate confidence level of 58/100. Expected goals suggest Girona may edge the match 1.87 to 1.08, though the most likely score remains a 1-1 draw, highlighting the potential for a closely contested game. With both teams having a 57% probability for over 2.5 goals and BTTS, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Girona 2–1 Mallorca
Sept 2022 Mallorca 1–1 Girona