Vallecano vs Valladolid Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Thu 4 May, 22:00
Vallecano
21 Full time
Valladolid
Vallecano 2–1 Valladolid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 24%
Away 22%

💡 Vallecano are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1471 v 1421 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Valladolid

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Why we predict this

  • Vallecano is the stronger side on Power Rating (1471 vs 1421).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Valladolid
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Valladolid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoLWLWL1.2 ppg
ValladolidDWWLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1471
Valladolid1421
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 23% · 12%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning58% · 25% · 17%

AI match preview

Vallecano enter this La Liga clash with a 54% chance of securing a home win against Valladolid, supported by a projected 2.03 expected goals to their opponent's 0.78. The model favors a 2-0 scoreline, with a moderate 53% probability of the match producing over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance both teams will score. These projections offer insight into likely outcomes, but remember to consider all factors and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.03 – 0.78

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Vallecano 2–1 Valladolid
Jan 2023 Valladolid 0–1 Vallecano