Osasuna vs Almeria Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 13 May, 16:15
Osasuna
31 Full time
Almeria
Osasuna 3–1 Almeria

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 23%
Away 27%

💡 Osasuna are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1467 v 1442 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Osasuna v Almeria

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1467 vs 1442).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Osasuna
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Almeria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaLWWLL1.2 ppg
AlmeriaLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1467
Almeria1442
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 27% · 24%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning47% · 17% · 37%

AI match preview

Osasuna host Almeria in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a 50% chance of victory, with a moderate 56/100 confidence level. The model anticipates a competitive encounter, projecting a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline, supported by expected goals of 1.66 for Osasuna and 1.11 for Almeria. With a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance of both teams scoring, this match promises potential attacking action; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.11

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Osasuna 3–1 Almeria
Sept 2022 Almeria 0–1 Osasuna