Villarreal vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 13 May, 18:30
Villarreal
51 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Villarreal 5–1 Ath Bilbao

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 26%
Away 28%

💡 Villarreal are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1553 v 1517 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Villarreal v Ath Bilbao

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1553 vs 1517).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Villarreal

Green = favours Villarreal · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VillarrealLLWWD1.4 ppg
Ath BilbaoWWLDL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Villarreal1553
Ath Bilbao1517
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 29% · 30%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning49% · 31% · 20%

AI match preview

Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 46% probability, while a draw and away win stand at 26% and 28% respectively. Both teams are expected to produce a tight match with an anticipated scoreline of 1-1, reflecting the close expected goals tally of 1.47 to 1.24. There is a moderate chance of over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (56%), indicating an open game where goals from both sides are quite probable. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.24

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadio de la Ceramica Villarreal, Spain Capacity 23,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Villarreal 5–1 Ath Bilbao
Oct 2022 Ath Bilbao 1–0 Villarreal