Elche vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 14 May, 16:15
Elche
10 Full time
Ath Madrid
Elche 1–0 Ath Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (72%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 12%
Draw 16%
Away 72%

💡 Ath Madrid are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 88.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 88.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1347 v 1648 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 2.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Elche v Ath Madrid

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1648 vs 1347).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Elche

Green = favours Elche · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ElcheLLLWL0.6 ppg
Ath MadridWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Elche1347
Ath Madrid1648
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model8% · 20% · 72%
Power Rating18% · 12% · 70%
Machine-learning7% · 5% · 89%

AI match preview

Elche face a tough challenge at home against Ath Madrid, who hold a strong 72% chance of victory according to the model. With expected goals favoring the visitors 2.15 to 0.60 and a most likely scoreline of 0-2, Ath Madrid look set to control the match. While just over half the simulations suggest more than 2.5 goals, only 41% predict both teams to score; remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.60 – 2.15

Most likely score

0-2

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Elche 1–0 Ath Madrid
Dec 2022 Ath Madrid 2–0 Elche