Girona vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 20 May, 14:00
Girona
12 Full time
Villarreal
Girona 1–2 Villarreal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 26%
Away 35%

💡 Girona have a slight edge — leaning Girona, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1543 v 1568 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index 2 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1543 vs 1568).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaLWWWD2 ppg
VillarrealLWWDW2 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1543
Villarreal1568
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 28% · 33%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning42% · 31% · 27%

AI match preview

Girona and Villarreal are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 39%, while a draw and away win stand at 26% and 35% respectively. Both teams are expected to find the net, with a 60% probability for BTTS and a projected scoreline of 1-1 reflecting the tight nature of this encounter. Over 2.5 goals is also moderately favored at 55%, but as always, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.37

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Girona 1–2 Villarreal
Jan 2023 Villarreal 1–0 Girona