Ath Bilbao vs Celta Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 20 May, 16:15
Ath Bilbao
21 Full time
Celta
Ath Bilbao 2–1 Celta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 25%
Away 20%

💡 Ath Bilbao are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1502 v 1454 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Bilbao v Celta

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1502 vs 1454).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Ath Bilbao

Green = favours Ath Bilbao · Blue = favours Celta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath BilbaoWLDLL0.8 ppg
CeltaLWLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Bilbao1502
Celta1454
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 31% · 18%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning55% · 26% · 19%

AI match preview

Athletic Bilbao holds a 56% probability of securing a home victory against Celta, with the model favoring a narrow 1-0 scoreline based on expected goals of 1.40 to 0.73. The chances of a draw stand at 25%, while an away win is projected at 20%, suggesting a competitive match with limited scoring opportunities. With only a 36% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, this encounter may be a tight, low-scoring affair; please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 0.73

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Ath Bilbao 2–1 Celta
Jan 2023 Celta 1–0 Ath Bilbao