Almeria vs Mallorca Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sat 20 May, 18:30
Almeria
30 Full time
Mallorca
Almeria 3–0 Mallorca

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 30%
Away 28%

💡 Almeria have a slight edge — leaning Almeria, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1429 v 1485 Mallorca rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Mallorca is the stronger side on Power Rating (1485 vs 1429).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Mallorca
Form Index
Mallorca
Goal expectation
Almeria
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Mallorca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaLWLWL1.2 ppg
MallorcaWLDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1429
Mallorca1485
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 29% · 25%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning40% · 36% · 24%

AI match preview

Almeria and Mallorca are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 42% probability, while a draw and away win are also plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a moderately open game, with Almeria projected to score 1.54 goals to Mallorca’s 1.07, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With both teams likely to find the net and under a 50% chance for over 2.5 goals, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.07

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Almeria 3–0 Mallorca
Sept 2022 Mallorca 1–0 Almeria