Vallecano vs Espanol Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 21 May, 14:00
Vallecano
12 Full time
Espanol
Vallecano 1–2 Espanol

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 24%
Away 24%

💡 Vallecano are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1467 v 1401 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vallecano v Espanol

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Why we predict this

  • Vallecano is the stronger side on Power Rating (1467 vs 1401).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Vallecano
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Espanol. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoLWLWL1.2 ppg
EspanolDLWLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1467
Espanol1401
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 26% · 25%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning53% · 24% · 23%

AI match preview

Vallecano hold a 52% chance of securing a home win against Espanol, with the model suggesting a fairly balanced contest given the 24% probabilities for both draw and away outcomes. Expected goals favor Vallecano at 1.79 compared to Espanol's 1.25, yet the most probable scoreline is a tight 1-1 draw. With over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 61%, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.25

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Vallecano 1–2 Espanol
Aug 2022 Espanol 0–2 Vallecano