Celta vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Tue 23 May, 19:30
Celta
11 Full time
Girona
Celta 1–1 Girona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 26%
Away 33%

💡 Celta have a slight edge — leaning Celta, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1447 v 1531 Girona rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Girona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1531 vs 1447).
  • Girona is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Celta
Home advantage
Celta

Green = favours Celta · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CeltaWLLLL0.6 ppg
GironaWWWDL2 ppg
Power Rating
Celta1447
Girona1531
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 29% · 32%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning36% · 15% · 49%

AI match preview

Celta host Girona in a closely contested La Liga fixture where the model slightly favors a home win at 41%, though a draw and away victory remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals are tight, with Celta at 1.43 and Girona at 1.26, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring probabilities just above 50%, fans can anticipate a competitive match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.26

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Celta 1–1 Girona
Aug 2022 Girona 0–1 Celta