Sociedad vs Almeria Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Tue 23 May, 19:30
Sociedad
10 Full time
Almeria
Sociedad 1–0 Almeria

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 20%
Away 13%

💡 Sociedad are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 80.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 80.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1597 v 1448 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index 2.2 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sociedad v Almeria

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1597 vs 1448).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Sociedad

Green = favours Sociedad · Blue = favours Almeria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SociedadDWWDW2.2 ppg
AlmeriaWLWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Sociedad1597
Almeria1448
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model64% · 23% · 14%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning61% · 27% · 12%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad are favored to secure a home victory against Almeria, with a 67% probability and a strong confidence rating of 80/100. The model projects Sociedad to net around 2.05 goals while keeping Almeria to under one, making a 2-0 scoreline the most probable outcome. With a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% likelihood both teams score, this matchup could see moderate goal action, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.05 – 0.86

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Sociedad 1–0 Almeria
Jan 2023 Almeria 0–2 Sociedad