Valladolid vs Barcelona Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Tue 23 May, 22:00
Valladolid
31 Full time
Barcelona
Valladolid 3–1 Barcelona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (63%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 18%
Draw 19%
Away 63%

💡 Barcelona are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 75.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1384 v 1679 Barcelona rated higher
Form Index 0 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valladolid v Barcelona

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Barcelona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1679 vs 1384).
  • Barcelona is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Barcelona
Form Index
Barcelona
Goal expectation
Barcelona
Home advantage
Valladolid

Green = favours Valladolid · Blue = favours Barcelona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValladolidLLLLL0 ppg
BarcelonaLWWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Valladolid1384
Barcelona1679
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model8% · 19% · 73%
Power Rating19% · 12% · 70%
Machine-learning7% · 6% · 87%

AI match preview

Barcelona heads to Valladolid as clear favorites with a 63% chance of victory, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.19 compared to Valladolid’s 0.59. The model suggests a 0-2 scoreline as the most probable outcome, with a moderate 53% likelihood of the match exceeding 2.5 goals. While Barcelona’s offense is favored to shine, the possibility of a draw or a Valladolid surprise remains, so please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.59 – 2.19

Most likely score

0-2

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Valladolid 3–1 Barcelona
Aug 2022 Barcelona 4–0 Valladolid