Elche vs Sevilla Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Wed 24 May, 19:30
Elche
11 Full time
Sevilla
Elche 1–1 Sevilla

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (50%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 24%
Away 50%

💡 Sevilla are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1369 v 1518 Sevilla rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Elche v Sevilla

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Why we predict this

  • Sevilla is the stronger side on Power Rating (1518 vs 1369).
  • Sevilla is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sevilla
Form Index
Sevilla
Goal expectation
Sevilla
Home advantage
Elche

Green = favours Elche · Blue = favours Sevilla. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ElcheLWLWD1.4 ppg
SevillaWLWWD2 ppg
Power Rating
Elche1369
Sevilla1518
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 27% · 51%
Power Rating31% · 19% · 50%
Machine-learning22% · 12% · 66%

AI match preview

Elche host Sevilla in a La Liga clash where the model gives the away side a 50% chance of winning, slightly edging out a home win (26%) and draw (24%). With expected goals favoring Sevilla at 1.72 to Elche’s 1.06, a closely contested 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline despite the away win being the top pick. The game also has moderate probabilities for over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams scoring (55%). These projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.06 – 1.72

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Elche 1–1 Sevilla
Jan 2023 Sevilla 3–0 Elche