Espanol vs Ath Madrid Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Wed 24 May, 22:00
Espanol
33 Full time
Ath Madrid
Espanol 3–3 Ath Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (54%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 21%
Away 54%

💡 Ath Madrid are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1416 v 1639 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 2.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1639 vs 1416).
  • Ath Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Ath Madrid
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Espanol

Green = favours Espanol · Blue = favours Ath Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EspanolLWLLW1.2 ppg
Ath MadridWWWLW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Espanol1416
Ath Madrid1639
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model11% · 22% · 67%
Power Rating25% · 13% · 62%
Machine-learning16% · 11% · 73%

AI match preview

Espanol hosts Ath Madrid in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 54% chance of victory, supported by a model confidence of 62/100. The expected goals heavily favor Ath Madrid at 2.07 compared to Espanol’s 0.76, making a 0-2 scoreline the most probable outcome. While over 2.5 goals is slightly favored at 54%, both teams scoring is less certain at 48%; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.76 – 2.07

Most likely score

0-2

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Espanol 3–3 Ath Madrid
Nov 2022 Ath Madrid 1–1 Espanol