Osasuna vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Thu 25 May, 21:30
Osasuna
20 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Osasuna 2–0 Ath Bilbao

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 27%
Away 41%

💡 Ath Bilbao have a slight edge — leaning Ath Bilbao, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1470 v 1510 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1470 vs 1510).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaWLLWL1.2 ppg
Ath BilbaoLDLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1470
Ath Bilbao1510
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 29% · 42%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning33% · 19% · 49%

AI match preview

Osasuna host Athletic Bilbao in a La Liga clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of winning, compared to Osasuna's 32%, while a draw sits at 27%. The model predicts a competitive game with an expected goals tally of 1.23 for Osasuna and 1.49 for Athletic Bilbao, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline despite the away win being the top pick. With just over half the probability for both teams to score (56%) and for the match to exceed 2.5 goals (51%), this encounter promises a balanced contest—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.49

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Osasuna 2–0 Ath Bilbao
Jan 2023 Ath Bilbao 0–0 Osasuna