Almeria vs Valladolid Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 28 May, 19:00
Almeria
00 Full time
Valladolid
Almeria 0–0 Valladolid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 26%
Away 24%

💡 Almeria are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1443 v 1410 Almeria rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Almeria v Valladolid

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1443 vs 1410).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Almeria
Form Index
Almeria
Goal expectation
Almeria
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Valladolid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaLWLWL1.2 ppg
ValladolidLLLLW0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1443
Valladolid1410
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model68% · 21% · 11%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning51% · 32% · 17%

AI match preview

Almeria are favored to edge out Valladolid with a 50% chance of victory, supported by a projected 2.21 expected goals compared to Valladolid’s 0.82. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome, with a moderate 58% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a near-even 51% chance both teams will score. These projections offer a statistical glimpse into the match, but remember to gamble responsibly and only if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.21 – 0.82

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Almeria 0–0 Valladolid
Sept 2022 Valladolid 1–0 Almeria