Ath Madrid vs Sociedad Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 28 May, 19:00
Ath Madrid
21 Full time
Sociedad
Ath Madrid 2–1 Sociedad

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 28%
Away 25%

💡 Ath Madrid are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1634 v 1602 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 2.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1634 vs 1602).
  • Sociedad is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Sociedad
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Ath Madrid

Green = favours Ath Madrid · Blue = favours Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath MadridWWLWD2.0 ppg
SociedadWWDWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Madrid1634
Sociedad1602
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 30% · 24%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning58% · 28% · 14%

AI match preview

Atletico Madrid host Real Sociedad in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 47% chance of victory, while a draw is also a strong possibility at 28%. The model projects a tight contest with an expected goals tally of 1.45 for Atletico and 1.00 for Sociedad, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an intriguing match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Ath Madrid 2–1 Sociedad
Sept 2022 Sociedad 1–1 Ath Madrid