Espanol vs Almeria Prediction

La Liga 22/23 · Sun 4 Jun, 21:00
Espanol
33 Full time
Almeria
Espanol 3–3 Almeria

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 25%
Away 32%

💡 Espanol have a slight edge — leaning Espanol, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1424 v 1440 Almeria rated higher
Form Index 1 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1424 vs 1440).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Almeria
Form Index
Almeria
Goal expectation
Espanol
Home advantage
Espanol

Green = favours Espanol · Blue = favours Almeria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EspanolLLWDD1 ppg
AlmeriaWLWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Espanol1424
Almeria1440
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 24% · 29%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning47% · 28% · 25%

AI match preview

Espanol hosts Almeria in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight advantage with a 43% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain well within reach. The model anticipates a tight contest with an expected goal tally of 1.96 for Espanol and 1.53 for Almeria, most likely resulting in a 1-1 draw. With a 68% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can expect an open and competitive match; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.96 – 1.53

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 68%

Under 32%

Both teams to score

Yes 68%

No 32%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jun 2023 Espanol 3–3 Almeria
Jan 2023 Almeria 3–1 Espanol