Sevilla vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Fri 12 Jan, 20:00
Sevilla
23 Full time
Alaves
Sevilla 2–3 Alaves

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 29%
Away 23%

💡 Sevilla are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1446 v 1442 Sevilla rated higher
Form Index LLWLL v DLLLD Sevilla 0.6 · Alaves 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1446 vs 1442).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Sevilla
Goal expectation
Sevilla
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Alaves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaLLWLL0.6 ppg
AlavesDLLLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1446
Alaves1442
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 32% · 22%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning50% · 34% · 16%

AI match preview

Sevilla hosts Alaves in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a 48% chance of victory, slightly edging out a draw at 29% and an away win at 23%. The model projects a tight contest with an expected goals tally of 1.28 for Sevilla and 0.80 for Alaves, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline despite Sevilla's slight advantage. With only a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance both teams score, fans can anticipate a cautiously contested match. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.28 – 0.80

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

SevillaAlaves
4.8 Corners 4.9
2.9 Cards 2.6
13.4 Fouls 14.6

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Sevilla 2–3 Alaves
Aug 2023 Alaves 4–3 Sevilla