Las Palmas vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 13 Jan, 13:00
Las Palmas
30 Full time
Villarreal
Las Palmas 3–0 Villarreal

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 25%
Away 27%

💡 Las Palmas are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1497 v 1442 Las Palmas rated higher
Form Index WWDLL v DLLWL Las Palmas 1.4 · Villarreal 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Las Palmas is the stronger side on Power Rating (1497 vs 1442).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Las Palmas
Form Index
Las Palmas
Goal expectation
Las Palmas
Home advantage
Las Palmas

Green = favours Las Palmas · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Las PalmasWWDLL1.4 ppg
VillarrealDLLWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Las Palmas1497
Villarreal1442
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 30% · 20%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning74% · 20% · 6%

AI match preview

Las Palmas hold a slight edge in this La Liga clash with a 48% chance of securing a home win, while Villarreal’s prospects stand at 27%, and a draw is projected at 25%. The model anticipates a closely contested game with an expected goal tally favoring Las Palmas 1.45 to 0.83, yet the most likely scoreline remains 1-1. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not consistently finding the net, this matchup could be tight and tactical—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.45 – 0.83

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

Las PalmasVillarreal
4.2 Corners 4.5
2.6 Cards 2.6
11.3 Fouls 12.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Las Palmas 3–0 Villarreal
Oct 2023 Villarreal 1–2 Las Palmas