Mallorca vs Celta Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 13 Jan, 15:15
Mallorca
11 Full time
Celta
Mallorca 1–1 Celta

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 30%
Away 26%

💡 Mallorca have a slight edge — leaning Mallorca, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1465 v 1443 Mallorca rated higher
Form Index DWDWL v DDWLW Mallorca 1.6 · Celta 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1465 vs 1443).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Mallorca
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Mallorca
Home advantage
Mallorca

Green = favours Mallorca · Blue = favours Celta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MallorcaDWDWL1.6 ppg
CeltaDDWLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Mallorca1465
Celta1443
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 33% · 28%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning56% · 31% · 13%

AI match preview

Mallorca hosts Celta in a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving the home side a 44% chance of victory and a 30% probability of a draw. Expected goals suggest a tight game, projecting 1.18 for Mallorca and 0.96 for Celta, with a 1-1 scoreline being the most likely outcome. While both teams scoring is slightly under 50%, the overall chance of more than 2.5 goals remains low at 36%; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 0.96

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

MallorcaCelta
4.0 Corners 4.2
2.4 Cards 2.0
13.1 Fouls 12.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Mallorca 1–1 Celta
Sept 2023 Celta 0–1 Mallorca