Almeria vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 14 Jan, 13:00
Almeria
00 Full time
Girona
Almeria 0–0 Girona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (63%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 18%
Draw 20%
Away 63%

💡 Girona are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1361 v 1638 Girona rated higher
Form Index DLDLL v WWWDW Almeria 0.4 · Girona 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Girona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1638 vs 1361).
  • Girona is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (3.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Almeria

Green = favours Almeria · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlmeriaDLDLL0.4 ppg
GironaWWWDW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Almeria1361
Girona1638
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model8% · 14% · 78%
Power Rating20% · 12% · 68%
Machine-learning0% · 16% · 84%

AI match preview

Almeria hosts Girona in a La Liga clash where the model favors an away win with a 63% probability and a confidence rating of 74.5/100. Girona is expected to dominate offensively, with anticipated goals at 3.15 compared to Almeria’s 1.04, suggesting a likely high-scoring encounter, with a most probable scoreline of 1-3. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are also strong possibilities at 79% and 62% respectively; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.04 – 3.15

Most likely score

1-3

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 79%

Under 21%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

AlmeriaGirona
4.4 Corners 4.4
2.5 Cards 2.1
12.5 Fouls 11.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Almeria 0–0 Girona
Oct 2023 Girona 5–2 Almeria