Alaves vs Cadiz Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Fri 19 Jan, 20:00
Alaves
10 Full time
Cadiz
Alaves 1–0 Cadiz

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 26%
Away 17%

💡 Alaves are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1456 v 1410 Alaves rated higher
Form Index LLLDW v DDDLL Alaves 0.8 · Cadiz 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Alaves is the stronger side on Power Rating (1456 vs 1410).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alaves
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Cadiz. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesLLLDW0.8 ppg
CadizDDDLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1456
Cadiz1410
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 32% · 20%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning62% · 28% · 10%

AI match preview

Alaves are favored to claim victory against Cadiz with a 57% probability, supported by a model confidence of 65.3 out of 100. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Alaves projected to score 1.33 goals to Cadiz’s 0.75, making a 1-0 scoreline the most likely outcome. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% probability of both teams scoring, this match may lean toward a low-scoring affair; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.33 – 0.75

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

AlavesCadiz
4.9 Corners 4.5
2.6 Cards 3.0
14.6 Fouls 15.2

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Alaves 1–0 Cadiz
Aug 2023 Cadiz 1–0 Alaves