Vallecano vs Las Palmas Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 20 Jan, 13:00
Vallecano
02 Full time
Las Palmas
Vallecano 0–2 Las Palmas

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 29%
Away 26%

💡 Vallecano have a slight edge — leaning Vallecano, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1493 v 1510 Las Palmas rated higher
Form Index LDLLW v WDLLW Vallecano 0.8 · Las Palmas 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1493 vs 1510).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Las Palmas
Form Index
Las Palmas
Goal expectation
Las Palmas
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Las Palmas. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoLDLLW0.8 ppg
Las PalmasWDLLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1493
Las Palmas1510
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 36% · 37%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning30% · 40% · 31%

AI match preview

Vallecano host Las Palmas in a tight La Liga clash where the model slightly favors the home side with a 45% chance of victory, though a draw remains a strong 29% possibility. Expected goals are low at 0.84 for Vallecano and 1.02 for Las Palmas, with the most likely scoreline predicted as 0-0, reflecting a potentially cautious encounter. With only a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and 38% probability for both teams to score, this match could hinge on defensive solidity; as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.84 – 1.02

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

VallecanoLas Palmas
5.2 Corners 4.2
2.8 Cards 2.6
14.0 Fouls 11.3

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Vallecano 0–2 Las Palmas
Oct 2023 Las Palmas 0–1 Vallecano