Villarreal vs Mallorca Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 20 Jan, 15:15
Villarreal
11 Full time
Mallorca
Villarreal 1–1 Mallorca

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 30%
Away 29%

💡 Villarreal have a slight edge — leaning Villarreal, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1429 v 1463 Mallorca rated higher
Form Index LLWLL v WDWLD Villarreal 0.6 · Mallorca 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Villarreal v Mallorca

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1429 vs 1463).
  • Mallorca is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Mallorca
Form Index
Mallorca
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Villarreal

Green = favours Villarreal · Blue = favours Mallorca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VillarrealLLWLL0.6 ppg
MallorcaWDWLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Villarreal1429
Mallorca1463
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 26% · 33%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning24% · 47% · 30%

AI match preview

Villarreal host Mallorca in a La Liga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, though a draw or an away win remain realistic outcomes. The model projects a tight contest with expected goals of 1.75 for Villarreal and 1.54 for Mallorca, pointing toward a likely 1-1 scoreline. With a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% chance both teams score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.54

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

VillarrealMallorca
4.5 Corners 4.0
2.6 Cards 2.4
12.1 Fouls 13.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Estadio de la Ceramica Villarreal, Spain Capacity 23,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Villarreal 1–1 Mallorca
Aug 2023 Mallorca 0–1 Villarreal