Celta vs Sociedad Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 20 Jan, 20:00
Celta
01 Full time
Sociedad
Celta 0–1 Sociedad

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 30%
Away 40%

💡 Sociedad have a slight edge — leaning Sociedad, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1446 v 1549 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index DWLWD v WDDDL Celta 1.6 · Sociedad 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1549 vs 1446).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Celta
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Celta

Green = favours Celta · Blue = favours Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CeltaDWLWD1.6 ppg
SociedadWDDDL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Celta1446
Sociedad1549
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 31% · 51%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning12% · 30% · 59%

AI match preview

Celta host Sociedad in a La Liga clash where the model favors an away win with a 40% probability, while a draw is nearly as likely at 30%. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Sociedad slightly ahead (1.38 to 0.72) and the most probable scoreline being a narrow 1-0 victory for the visitors. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams scoring, this match could prove a cautious affair; remember these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.72 – 1.38

Most likely score

0-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

CeltaSociedad
4.2 Corners 5.5
2.0 Cards 2.5
12.0 Fouls 14.4

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Celta 0–1 Sociedad
Aug 2023 Sociedad 1–1 Celta