Osasuna vs Getafe Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 21 Jan, 13:00
Osasuna
32 Full time
Getafe
Osasuna 3–2 Getafe

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 31%
Away 32%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1462 v 1500 Getafe rated higher
Form Index DDWLW v LWWDL Osasuna 1.6 · Getafe 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1462 vs 1500).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Getafe
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Getafe
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Getafe. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaDDWLW1.6 ppg
GetafeLWWDL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1462
Getafe1500
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 29% · 40%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning29% · 36% · 35%

AI match preview

Osasuna and Getafe are set for a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 37% but also highlighting a strong 31% chance of a draw, which is the suggested pick. The expected goals indicate a modestly open game, with both sides likely to find the net, matching the 57% probability for BTTS and a balanced 51% chance for over 2.5 goals. The most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the evenly matched nature of this encounter; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and should be considered carefully when betting—play responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.45

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

OsasunaGetafe
4.3 Corners 4.0
2.3 Cards 3.3
13.5 Fouls 16.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Osasuna 3–2 Getafe
Sept 2023 Getafe 3–2 Osasuna