Girona vs Sevilla Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 21 Jan, 20:00
Girona
51 Full time
Sevilla
Girona 5–1 Sevilla

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 19%
Away 17%

💡 Girona are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1632 v 1433 Girona rated higher
Form Index WWDWD v LWLLL Girona 2.2 · Sevilla 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Girona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1632 vs 1433).
  • Girona is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Sevilla. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaWWDWD2.2 ppg
SevillaLWLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1632
Sevilla1433
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 23% · 20%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning94% · 5% · 1%

AI match preview

Girona heads into this La Liga clash against Sevilla with a strong 64% chance of securing a home win, backed by a 76.4/100 confidence rating from the model. The expected goals suggest Girona may edge the contest 2.09 to 1.21, though the most likely scoreline is a tight 1-1 draw. With a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance both teams will score, fans can anticipate an open, competitive match—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.09 – 1.21

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

GironaSevilla
4.4 Corners 4.8
2.1 Cards 2.9
11.0 Fouls 13.4

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Girona 5–1 Sevilla
Aug 2023 Sevilla 1–2 Girona