Las Palmas vs Real Madrid Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 27 Jan, 15:15
Las Palmas
12 Full time
Real Madrid
Las Palmas 1–2 Real Madrid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (55%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 18%
Draw 27%
Away 55%

💡 Real Madrid are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1528 v 1653 Real Madrid rated higher
Form Index DLLWW v DWWWW Las Palmas 1.4 · Real Madrid 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Real Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1653 vs 1528).
  • Real Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Madrid
Form Index
Real Madrid
Goal expectation
Real Madrid
Home advantage
Las Palmas

Green = favours Las Palmas · Blue = favours Real Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Las PalmasDLLWW1.4 ppg
Real MadridDWWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Las Palmas1528
Real Madrid1653
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 34% · 42%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 46%
Machine-learning9% · 44% · 47%

AI match preview

Las Palmas host Real Madrid in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 55% chance of victory, according to model projections, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. The expected goals suggest a tightly contested match with a slight edge to Real Madrid scoring 1.12 goals on average versus Las Palmas' 0.80, and the most likely scoreline is a goalless draw. With only a 30% probability for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, this game could be a cautious affair; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.80 – 1.12

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 30%

Under 70%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

Las PalmasReal Madrid
4.2 Corners 6.1
2.6 Cards 1.8
11.3 Fouls 9.5

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Las Palmas 1–2 Real Madrid
Sept 2023 Real Madrid 2–0 Las Palmas