Celta vs Girona Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 28 Jan, 13:00
Celta
01 Full time
Girona
Celta 0–1 Girona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 24%
Away 52%

💡 Girona are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 59.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1436 v 1639 Girona rated higher
Form Index WLWDL v WDWDW Celta 1.4 · Girona 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Girona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1639 vs 1436).
  • Girona is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Girona
Form Index
Girona
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Celta

Green = favours Celta · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CeltaWLWDL1.4 ppg
GironaWDWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Celta1436
Girona1639
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model11% · 23% · 66%
Power Rating27% · 15% · 59%
Machine-learning3% · 25% · 73%

AI match preview

Celta host Girona in a La Liga clash where the model favors an away win with a 52% probability, reflecting Girona’s stronger expected performance. The predicted scoreline leans towards a 0-2 victory for Girona, supported by expected goals of 0.72 for Celta and 1.97 for the visitors. With a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and only a 45% probability of both teams scoring, this match could see Girona controlling the game but not necessarily a high-scoring affair. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.72 – 1.97

Most likely score

0-2

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

CeltaGirona
4.2 Corners 4.4
2.0 Cards 2.1
12.0 Fouls 11.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Celta 0–1 Girona
Oct 2023 Girona 1–0 Celta