Cadiz vs Ath Bilbao Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 28 Jan, 15:15
Cadiz
00 Full time
Ath Bilbao
Cadiz 0–0 Ath Bilbao

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 19%
Draw 30%
Away 52%

💡 Ath Bilbao are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1402 v 1593 Ath Bilbao rated higher
Form Index DDLLL v WWWWL Cadiz 0.4 · Ath Bilbao 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Bilbao is the stronger side on Power Rating (1593 vs 1402).
  • Ath Bilbao is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Bilbao
Form Index
Ath Bilbao
Goal expectation
Ath Bilbao
Home advantage
Cadiz

Green = favours Cadiz · Blue = favours Ath Bilbao. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CadizDDLLL0.4 ppg
Ath BilbaoWWWWL2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Cadiz1402
Ath Bilbao1593
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 34% · 46%
Power Rating28% · 16% · 57%
Machine-learning4% · 44% · 53%

AI match preview

Cadiz host Athletic Bilbao in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 52% chance of victory, according to model projections, while a draw is somewhat more likely than a home win. The expected goals suggest a tight encounter with 0.72 for Cadiz and 1.19 for Athletic Bilbao, yet the most probable scoreline is a goalless draw. With just a 30% probability for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, this match could lean towards a low-scoring affair; remember these are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.72 – 1.19

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 30%

Under 70%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

CadizAth Bilbao
4.5 Corners 5.5
3.0 Cards 2.1
15.2 Fouls 13.3

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Cadiz 0–0 Ath Bilbao
Sept 2023 Ath Bilbao 3–0 Cadiz