Sevilla vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 28 Jan, 17:30
Sevilla
11 Full time
Osasuna
Sevilla 1–1 Osasuna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 31%
Away 29%

💡 Sevilla have a slight edge — leaning Sevilla, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1426 v 1472 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index WLLLL v DWLWW Sevilla 0.6 · Osasuna 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Osasuna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1472 vs 1426).
  • Osasuna is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Osasuna
Home advantage
Sevilla

Green = favours Sevilla · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SevillaWLLLL0.6 ppg
OsasunaDWLWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla1426
Osasuna1472
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 25% · 39%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning29% · 48% · 23%

AI match preview

Sevilla and Osasuna are set to clash in a tightly contested La Liga fixture where the model slightly favors a Sevilla win with a 40% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 31%. Both teams are projected to score, contributing to a 69% chance of both teams finding the net and a 67% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, with the most probable final score being 1-1. These projections are based on statistical models and should be used as a guide—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.77

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 67%

Under 33%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

SevillaOsasuna
4.8 Corners 4.3
2.9 Cards 2.3
13.4 Fouls 13.5

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Sevilla 1–1 Osasuna
Sept 2023 Osasuna 0–0 Sevilla