Ath Madrid vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 28 Jan, 20:00
Ath Madrid
20 Full time
Valencia
Ath Madrid 2–0 Valencia

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 24%
Away 16%

💡 Ath Madrid are favourites — about 60 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1579 v 1535 Ath Madrid rated higher
Form Index LDWLW v DWWWW Ath Madrid 1.4 · Valencia 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ath Madrid v Valencia

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Why we predict this

  • Ath Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1579 vs 1535).
  • Valencia is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ath Madrid
Form Index
Valencia
Goal expectation
Ath Madrid
Home advantage
Ath Madrid

Green = favours Ath Madrid · Blue = favours Valencia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Ath MadridLDWLW1.4 ppg
ValenciaDWWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Ath Madrid1579
Valencia1535
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model64% · 20% · 16%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning59% · 36% · 5%

AI match preview

Atlético Madrid enters this La Liga clash with a 60% predicted chance to secure a home win against Valencia, backed by a solid expected goals margin of 2.41 to 1.17. The model suggests a competitive encounter with a 24% probability of a draw, and a 2-1 scoreline as the most likely outcome, alongside a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and 64% probability of both teams scoring. These projections offer insight into the match dynamics, but remember to consider them as statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.41 – 1.17

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 69%

Under 31%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

Ath MadridValencia
5.4 Corners 4.4
2.3 Cards 2.0
11.1 Fouls 12.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Ath Madrid 2–0 Valencia
Sept 2023 Valencia 3–0 Ath Madrid