Getafe vs Granada Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Mon 29 Jan, 20:00
Getafe
20 Full time
Granada
Getafe 2–0 Granada

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 23%
Away 17%

💡 Getafe are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1490 v 1377 Getafe rated higher
Form Index WWDLL v LLWLL Getafe 1.4 · Granada 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Getafe is the stronger side on Power Rating (1490 vs 1377).
  • Getafe is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Getafe
Form Index
Getafe
Goal expectation
Getafe
Home advantage
Getafe

Green = favours Getafe · Blue = favours Granada. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GetafeWWDLL1.4 ppg
GranadaLLWLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Getafe1490
Granada1377
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 28% · 13%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning85% · 13% · 3%

AI match preview

Getafe are favored to claim a narrow victory over Granada, with a 61% probability according to model projections, underpinned by an expected goals advantage of 1.54 to 0.58. The most likely scoreline is a tight 1-0, reflecting a contest that may be decided by limited scoring opportunities. With only a 36% chance for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match could lean towards a low-scoring affair—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.54 – 0.58

Most likely score

1-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

GetafeGranada
4.0 Corners 3.9
3.3 Cards 2.7
16.0 Fouls 13.5

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Getafe 2–0 Granada
Nov 2023 Granada 1–1 Getafe