Getafe vs Real Madrid Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Thu 1 Feb, 20:00
Getafe
02 Full time
Real Madrid
Getafe 0–2 Real Madrid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (54%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 18%
Draw 28%
Away 54%

💡 Real Madrid are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1498 v 1662 Real Madrid rated higher
Form Index WDLLW v WWWWW Getafe 1.4 · Real Madrid 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Real Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1662 vs 1498).
  • Real Madrid is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Madrid
Form Index
Real Madrid
Goal expectation
Real Madrid
Home advantage
Getafe

Green = favours Getafe · Blue = favours Real Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GetafeWDLLW1.4 ppg
Real MadridWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Getafe1498
Real Madrid1662
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 36% · 41%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%
Machine-learning5% · 43% · 52%

AI match preview

Getafe host Real Madrid in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a 54% chance of victory, according to the model, with a 28% probability of a draw and just 18% for a home win. Despite Real Madrid’s slight edge in expected goals (1.03 to 0.72), the most likely scoreline is a cautious 0-0, reflecting a low-scoring encounter with only a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score. These projections highlight the statistical probabilities and should be considered as part of a broader analysis—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.72 – 1.03

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 26%

Under 74%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

GetafeReal Madrid
4.0 Corners 6.1
3.3 Cards 1.8
16.0 Fouls 9.5

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Getafe 0–2 Real Madrid
Sept 2023 Real Madrid 2–1 Getafe