Valencia vs Almeria Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 3 Feb, 13:00
Valencia
21 Full time
Almeria
Valencia 2–1 Almeria

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 19%
Away 14%

💡 Valencia are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 80.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 80.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1524 v 1347 Valencia rated higher
Form Index WWWWL v LLDLL Valencia 2.4 · Almeria 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Valencia is the stronger side on Power Rating (1524 vs 1347).
  • Valencia is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Valencia
Form Index
Valencia
Goal expectation
Valencia
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Almeria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaWWWWL2.4 ppg
AlmeriaLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1524
Almeria1347
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model72% · 20% · 8%
Power Rating71% · 12% · 18%
Machine-learning94% · 5% · 1%

AI match preview

Valencia are favored to secure a victory at home against Almeria, with a 67% chance according to model projections and an expected scoreline of 2-0. The hosts are expected to dominate offensively, averaging 2.10 goals compared to Almeria’s 0.57, while the probability of both teams scoring remains relatively low at 39%. With a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals, this match could see moderate scoring action, but as always, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.10 – 0.57

Most likely score

2-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

ValenciaAlmeria
4.4 Corners 4.4
2.0 Cards 2.5
12.1 Fouls 12.5

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Valencia 2–1 Almeria
Sept 2023 Almeria 2–2 Valencia