Villarreal vs Cadiz Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 4 Feb, 13:00
Villarreal
00 Full time
Cadiz
Villarreal 0–0 Cadiz

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 23%
Away 20%

💡 Villarreal are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1406 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index WLLDW v DLLLD Villarreal 1.4 · Cadiz 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Villarreal v Cadiz

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Why we predict this

  • Villarreal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1454 vs 1406).
  • Villarreal is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Villarreal

Green = favours Villarreal · Blue = favours Cadiz. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VillarrealWLLDW1.4 ppg
CadizDLLLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Villarreal1454
Cadiz1406
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 27% · 21%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning57% · 27% · 16%

AI match preview

Villarreal hold a 57% probability of securing a home win against Cadiz, with an expected goal tally of 1.75 to 1.05 favoring the hosts. Despite this, the model suggests a 23% chance of a draw, with 1-1 emerging as the most likely scoreline. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score carry probabilities just above 50%, indicating a moderately open contest; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.05

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

VillarrealCadiz
4.5 Corners 4.5
2.6 Cards 3.0
12.1 Fouls 15.2

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Estadio de la Ceramica Villarreal, Spain Capacity 23,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Villarreal 0–0 Cadiz
Sept 2023 Cadiz 3–1 Villarreal