Osasuna vs Celta Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 4 Feb, 15:15
Osasuna
03 Full time
Celta
Osasuna 0–3 Celta

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 28%
Away 26%

💡 Osasuna are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1467 v 1429 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index LWWDL v LWDLL Osasuna 1.4 · Celta 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1467 vs 1429).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Celta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaLWWDL1.4 ppg
CeltaLWDLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1467
Celta1429
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 29% · 36%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning57% · 26% · 17%

AI match preview

Osasuna and Celta are poised for a tightly contested La Liga clash, with the model giving Osasuna a slight edge at 46% to win, while a draw stands at 28%. Both sides are expected to produce similar attacking output, with expected goals nearly level at 1.32 for Osasuna and 1.35 for Celta, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. There's an even chance of seeing over 2.5 goals (50%) and a 56% probability that both teams will find the net, so fans should anticipate an open game. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.35

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

OsasunaCelta
4.3 Corners 4.2
2.3 Cards 2.0
13.5 Fouls 12.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Osasuna 0–3 Celta
Aug 2023 Celta 0–2 Osasuna