Vallecano vs Sevilla Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Mon 5 Feb, 20:00
Vallecano
12 Full time
Sevilla
Vallecano 1–2 Sevilla

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 26%
Away 28%

💡 Vallecano are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1472 v 1425 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index LWLDL v LLLLD Vallecano 0.8 · Sevilla 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Vallecano is the stronger side on Power Rating (1472 vs 1425).
  • Vallecano is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Sevilla
Home advantage
Vallecano

Green = favours Vallecano · Blue = favours Sevilla. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VallecanoLWLDL0.8 ppg
SevillaLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Vallecano1472
Sevilla1425
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 28% · 45%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning58% · 24% · 19%

AI match preview

Vallecano and Sevilla are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 46% probability, while a draw and away win stand at 26% and 28% respectively. Expected goals suggest a tight match, averaging around 1.16 for Vallecano and 1.57 for Sevilla, with 1-1 emerging as the most likely scoreline. There’s also a moderate chance of both teams scoring (56%) and the game exceeding 2.5 goals (51%). Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.57

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

VallecanoSevilla
5.2 Corners 4.8
2.8 Cards 2.9
14.0 Fouls 13.4

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Vallecano 1–2 Sevilla
Oct 2023 Sevilla 2–2 Vallecano