Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 10 Feb, 13:00
Alaves
11 Full time
Villarreal
Alaves 1–1 Villarreal

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 26%
Away 27%

💡 Alaves are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1466 v 1451 Alaves rated higher
Form Index DWWWL v LLDWD Alaves 2.0 · Villarreal 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alaves v Villarreal

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1466 vs 1451).
  • Alaves is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alaves
Form Index
Alaves
Goal expectation
Alaves
Home advantage
Alaves

Green = favours Alaves · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavesDWWWL2.0 ppg
VillarrealLLDWD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Alaves1466
Villarreal1451
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 27% · 32%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning59% · 26% · 15%

AI match preview

Alaves and Villarreal are set for a closely contested La Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 47% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 26%. The expected goals suggest a tight match with 1.58 for Alaves and 1.39 for Villarreal, pointing towards a likely 1-1 scoreline. With over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 61%, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.39

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Alaves 1–1 Villarreal
Oct 2023 Villarreal 1–1 Alaves