Sociedad vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sat 10 Feb, 15:15
Sociedad
01 Full time
Osasuna
Sociedad 0–1 Osasuna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 23%
Away 16%

💡 Sociedad are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1559 v 1442 Sociedad rated higher
Form Index DLWDD v WWDLL Sociedad 1.2 · Osasuna 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sociedad v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • Sociedad is the stronger side on Power Rating (1559 vs 1442).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sociedad
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Sociedad
Home advantage
Sociedad

Green = favours Sociedad · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SociedadDLWDD1.2 ppg
OsasunaWWDLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Sociedad1559
Osasuna1442
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 25% · 21%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning83% · 15% · 3%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad are favored to win this La Liga clash against Osasuna, with a 61% probability and a strong confidence level of 71.1/100, supported by an expected goals edge of 1.85 to 1.09. Despite the home advantage, the model suggests a closely contested match, highlighting a most likely scoreline of 1-1 and a 57% chance both teams will score. Over 2.5 goals is slightly more than even at 56%, indicating potential for an open game, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Sociedad 0–1 Osasuna
Dec 2023 Osasuna 1–1 Sociedad