Mallorca vs Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 23/24 · Sun 11 Feb, 15:15
Mallorca
21 Full time
Vallecano
Mallorca 2–1 Vallecano

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (34%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 34%
Away 28%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (34%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1442 v 1458 Vallecano rated higher
Form Index LDDLL v WLDLL Mallorca 0.4 · Vallecano 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Mallorca v Vallecano

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1442 vs 1458).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vallecano
Form Index
Vallecano
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Mallorca

Green = favours Mallorca · Blue = favours Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MallorcaLDDLL0.4 ppg
VallecanoWLDLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Mallorca1442
Vallecano1458
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 43% · 30%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning43% · 37% · 20%

AI match preview

Mallorca and Vallecano are projected to battle to a draw, with the model assigning a 34% probability to a stalemate and a close confidence level of 39.6 out of 100. Both teams are expected to score less than one goal each, making a 0-0 scoreline the most likely outcome in this tightly contested La Liga fixture. With just a 15% chance of over 2.5 goals and only 25% for both teams to score, this match could be a cautious, low-scoring affair—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.63 – 0.68

Most likely score

0-0

28% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 15%

Under 85%

Both teams to score

Yes 25%

No 75%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Mallorca 2–1 Vallecano
Sept 2023 Vallecano 2–2 Mallorca